Bird Flu – What Are the Odds of Mutation

Are we tired of hearing about the bird flu yet? The constant fear mongering never ceases. Words like epidemic & pandemic thrown around by those who the average Joe thinks know something he does not. Let’s face the facts here, bird flu is a disease of ummm… birds, that has infected a small amount of people. Yep that’s right a small amount, about 200 known cases of which approximately 60 people died out of 6 ½ billion people on planet earth. This is hardly worth noticing based on the numbers alone. For the most part these people either worked in or lived near a facility that raises poultry. A few may have been exposed to groups of wild birds infected, but most reports state that all contracted the disease from birds, with one or two rouge reports claiming one or two human to human transmissions with no evidence to back up their statements. Remember SARS the last big pandemic fear? Nothing came of SARS and it is just as likely nothing with come of this strain of the avian flu.

We have a whole lot of hype and no information whatsoever. The big pandemic we are supposed to prepare ourselves for is the one that is created when the bird flu mutates and is then capable of human to human transmission. This mutation is presented as immanent and absolute. I want to know what this assumption is based on. Where is there even one shred of information that shows this bird flu will ever mutate to be transmittable from human to human. There is none! All the great scientists of the world who specialize in this field are guessing that this one will mutate, yes you heard me, guessing. What are the odds of mutation and what is the scientific basis for the odds. There are no odds, zip, none, nadda. If it does mutate, do we know it will be as virulent as the current strain, or will it just be another flu? Well according to science and history a virus that is especially virulent is not good at spreading, and when it mutates and becomes better at spreading it becomes less virulent.

There are sites out there that want to scare us even more than the average media, one states that this virus has a 50% kill rate in humans and that we should expect that kill rate as a pandemic. This is fear mongering of the worst kind. First of all it only appears to have a 50% kill rate based on the amount of people who have been tested to have bird flu and how many of them have died. Second there could have been many others who contracted this strain and had minimal symptoms and recovered without ever being tested for bird flu drastically changing the numbers. Third the strain they have was contracted from birds it is not the human to human variety that it would have to mutate into in order to become a pandemic, that strain is an unknown.

One of the worst pandemics of historical record was the black death of the 14th century and it had an estimated 20% kill rate. The Spanish flu of 1918-1919 is now believed to be a mutated version of avian flu and it affected 20 – 25% of the world population with a kill rate of 2.5 to 5% of those infected. Of those who died many died of secondary bacterial pneumonia that was untreated as there were no antibiotics at the time, so the same strain hitting now would presumably have a much lower kill rate. The reality is that if the world experiences any kind of pandemic with a 50% kill rate we can be certain it was human created for the very purpose of culling the human population.

There is a lot of talk of the vaccine they are making and how long it will take. This too is nothing but propaganda as all flu vaccines are. A vaccine cannot be created for a mutated virus that does not exist yet. There may be scientists trying to make a vaccine based on the current strain hoping that it will speed up the making of a vaccine for a mutated strain that appears later. No matter what vaccine they may present us with, I wouldn’t touch it with a ten foot pole. The current flu vaccine is a joke and the fact that they want us all to have it so bad only makes it more suspect. Do you know that you may be taking a vaccine for a different strain of flu then the one in current circulation? Vaccine manufacturers never know what strain is going to pop up the next season as they are manufacturing your vaccine so they guess. Oh sure they use computer programs to help them guess but it’s a guess none the less. When they guess wrong they send out the vaccines anyway and all the dutiful docs are more than happy to sell them to you even though they know they are worthless, having been made for the wrong strain. Every one still needs to make their profits even when they guess wrong.

The truth is there is no evidence any flu vaccines work. Anecdotal evidence of my mother a nurse for the past 50 years, 73 years old and still nursing, is that her colleagues and patients who take the vaccines all get sick! She won’t take it, even when the hospital attempts to force her to, and amazingly she hasn’t had the flu since the last time she gave in, a few years back, and took the vaccine. That year she got the flu within a few days of receiving the vaccine. Flu vaccine is just big money plain and simple and when they create shortages, real or imagined, they make even better money as people clamor for more in fear. Now we have tamiflu this is supposed to be a significant medicine for the flu. Governments are stockpiling it for the bird flu pandemic that they tell us is imminent. There is no evidence that tamiflu will do anything for the bird flu if it mutates. It appears to do little to nothing for the regular flu. Information shows the regular flu will be on average one day shorter in duration with tamiflu, but no less intense.

I think the powers that be are just praying for a pandemic. With a true pandemic just think of all the lovely police state actions that could be taken world wide by governments champing at the bit to take away freedoms. Taking away our rights with the perfect excuse, claiming it is to protect our lives. Could there be a more perfect cover for crimes against humanity? This may seem far fetched to many, but with no real science behind the claims of mutation, and this strain becoming the next big pandemic, this would lead one to wonder (at the very least me) does a mutated version already exist, having been mutated by humans? Is the confidence in this being the coming pandemic simply because it is the release of a biological created from the bird flu for the purpose of culling the world population? Who would benefit from the pandemic? The list is a long one but most certainly it doesn’t include anyone who is the average Joe of any of the world’s nations. Is this a conspiracy theory of mass proportions? Sure, but that doesn’t take it out of the realm of possibility.

If history repeats we are due for a pandemic and it could have come 5 or 10 years ago based on the averages, it could be 5 or 10 years in the future. It’s no different than waiting for the big earthquake, it could come at any moment. We should all have some basic preparedness, but go on with our lives without allowing our media and government to control us with their fear mongering. The flu in fact serves an important purpose in the human body, those who purify their bodies and mind rarely get the flu. Those in need of purification get the flu, the fever kills off all kinds of things that harm the body, often when inflicted we give our digestive system a rest and take in only fluids for a few days detoxifying ourselves. There are always some who are in a weakened state and the flu ends their lives, but as the old saying goes “what doesn’t kill you makes you stronger.” I don’t think we should be attempting to vaccinate against a mostly innocuous, although unpleasant illness that serves a purpose in human existence. Don’t want to experience it, try regular mediation, fasting, remove the poisonous foods and supposed medicines of our toxic society from your diet. Turn off the TV when the fear mongering escalates and refuse to live your life in the constant state of stress that is being pressed upon us by media and government.

The odds of this bird flu mutating into a pandemic are completely unknown. The odds of a new virus showing up tomorrow with no warning and sweeping the world as the pandemic that is due, equally unknown. So if you want to worry about, it then you may as well take a vacation to a beach resort and spend the whole vacation anticipating being hit by a tsunami, or go to LA with the purpose of waiting for the big one. When the big ones hit, whether they be tsunamis, earthquakes, volcanoes, hurricanes, pandemics or inside job terrorist attacks like 911, no amount of worry changes anything, all it does it tear at the fabric of our lives while things are good. We should all have some food, water, medical supplies etc, so when something hits we are prepared to take care of ourselves, but once you have a few supplies in the house and car, LET GO! A life of fear is not a life worth saving, choose joy.

Engtovo Bhodsvatan
November 30, 2005

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s